Epistemology

Projects to help people improve their epistemics and individuals to contact:

• Pastcasting - forecasting past results so you get instant feedback
  • https://www.quantifiedintuitions.org/pastcasting
• Calibration - see how justified your own confidence is
  • https://www.quantifiedintuitions.org/calibration
• Historical Base rates - much thinking requires knowing roughly how often things have happened in the past
  • Seems like Our World In Data might do some work here
  • There is at least one other effort
• Increasing summarisation - making it easier to get a basic understanding on EA/LessWrong topics
  • Nonlinear offer a range of prizes for summaries of such works
    • Nathan Young

Potential projects:

• Displaying estimates
  • The Squiggle team seem focused on the first step of this
    • Ozzie Gooen
  • Nathan Young is interested in it
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Note:

• It is hard to build epistemic infrastructure among rationalists, because anyone who is capable of doing it can work on AI safety and most do

Related Sequences: Highly Advanced Epistemology 101 for Beginners, Concepts in formal epistemology, Novum Organum

Related Sequences:Concepts in formal epistemology, Novum Organum

Epistemology is the study of how we know the world. It's both a topic in philosophy and a practical concern for how we come to believe things are true.