AI ALIGNMENT FORUMTags
AF

Forecasts (Specific Predictions)

•

Applied to All Metaforecast COVID predictions by Nuno Sempere at 1mo

•

Applied to What 2026 looks like (Daniel's Median Future) by Daniel Kokotajlo at 2mo

•

Applied to Scoring My AstraZeneca Predictions by Erich Grunewald at 2mo

•

Applied to Scott Alexander 2021 Predictions: Market Prices by jacobjacob at 5mo

•

Applied to Scott Alexander 2021 Predictions: Buy/Sell/Hold by Multicore at 5mo

•

Applied to 2020 predictions - Politics, Econ, Tech by Raymond Arnold at 6mo

•

Applied to Grading myself on SSC's 2020 predictions by Raymond Arnold at 7mo

•

Applied to Judging Our April 2020 Covid-19 Predictions by Multicore at 7mo

•

Applied to Singularity&phase transition-2. A priori probability and ways to check. by Just Learning at 8mo

•

Applied to Credence polls for 26 claims from the 2019 Review by jacobjacob at 9mo

•

Applied to Predictions for 2021 (+ a template for yours) by epiphi at 9mo

•

Applied to Can we model technological singularity as the phase transition? by Just Learning at 9mo

•

Applied to Evolution and fitness vs self-awareness and memetics by FractalParrot at 10mo

•

Applied to New Year's Prediction Thread (2012) by Multicore at 10mo

•

Applied to Predictions made by Mati Roy in early 2020 by Nuno Sempere at 1y

•

Applied to Scoring 2020 U.S. Presidential Election Predictions by Zack M. Davis at 1y

•

Applied to My Predictions for 2018 (& a Template for Yours) by Multicore at 1y

•

Applied to 1987 Sci-Fi Authors Timecapsule Predictions For 2012 by Multicore at 1y

•

Applied to Disappointment in the Future by Multicore at 1y