Voting Results for the 2021 Review

Raemon

Well, that's a wrap for the 2021 Review. We had 238 people cast votes. 452 posts were originally nominated, of which 149 posts received at least one review. The LessWrong moderation team will be awarding prizes and assembling posts into the Best of 2021 Books / Sequences soon. But for now, you can look here at the raw results.

Results

Voting is visualized here with dots of varying sizes (roughly indicating that a user thought a post was "good" "important", or "extremely important"). Green dots indicate positive votes. Red indicate negative votes. You can hover over a dot to see its exact score.

0	Strong Evidence is Common Mark Xu
1	“PR” is corrosive; “reputation” is not. AnnaSalamon
2	Your Cheerful Price Eliezer Yudkowsky
3	ARC's first technical report: Eliciting Latent Knowledge paulfchristiano
4	This Can't Go On HoldenKarnofsky
5	Rationalism before the Sequences Eric Raymond
6	Lies, Damn Lies, and Fabricated Options Duncan_Sabien
7	Fun with +12 OOMs of Compute Daniel Kokotajlo
8	What 2026 looks like Daniel Kokotajlo
9	Ngo and Yudkowsky on alignment difficulty Eliezer Yudkowsky
10	How To Write Quickly While Maintaining Epistemic Rigor johnswentworth
11	Science in a High-Dimensional World johnswentworth
12	How factories were made safe jasoncrawford
13	Cryonics signup guide #1: Overview mingyuan
14	Making Vaccine johnswentworth
15	Taboo "Outside View" Daniel Kokotajlo
16	All Possible Views About Humanity's Future Are Wild HoldenKarnofsky
17	Another (outer) alignment failure story paulfchristiano
18	Split and Commit Duncan_Sabien
19	What Multipolar Failure Looks Like, and Robust Agent-Agnostic Processes (RAAPs) Andrew_Critch
20	There’s no such thing as a tree (phylogenetically) eukaryote
21	The Plan johnswentworth
22	Trapped Priors As A Basic Problem Of Rationality Scott Alexander
23	Finite Factored Sets Scott Garrabrant
24	Selection Theorems: A Program For Understanding Agents johnswentworth
25	Slack Has Positive Externalities For Groups johnswentworth
26	My research methodology paulfchristiano
27	The Rationalists of the 1950s (and before) also called themselves “Rationalists” Owain_Evans
28	Ruling Out Everything Else Duncan_Sabien
29	Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity Darmani
30	Feature Selection Zack_M_Davis
31	Cup-Stacking Skills (or, Reflexive Involuntary Mental Motions) Duncan_Sabien
32	larger language models may disappoint you [or, an eternally unfinished draft] nostalgebraist
33	Self-Integrity and the Drowning Child Eliezer Yudkowsky
34	Comments on Carlsmith's “Is power-seeking AI an existential risk?” So8res
35	Working With Monsters johnswentworth
36	Simulacrum 3 As Stag-Hunt Strategy johnswentworth
37	Elephant seal 2 KatjaGrace
38	EfficientZero: How It Works 1a3orn
39	Lars Doucet's Georgism series on Astral Codex Ten Sune
40	Catching the Spark LoganStrohl
41	Specializing in Problems We Don't Understand johnswentworth
42	Shoulder Advisors 101 Duncan_Sabien
43	Notes from "Don't Shoot the Dog" juliawise
44	Why has nuclear power been a flop? jasoncrawford
45	Whole Brain Emulation: No Progress on C. elgans After 10 Years niconiconi
46	Frame Control Aella
47	Worst-case thinking in AI alignment Buck
48	Yudkowsky and Christiano discuss "Takeoff Speeds" Eliezer Yudkowsky
49	You are probably underestimating how good self-love can be charlie.rs
50	Infra-Bayesian physicalism: a formal theory of naturalized induction Vanessa Kosoy
51	Jean Monnet: The Guerilla Bureaucrat Martin Sustrik
52	Seven Years of Spaced Repetition Software in the Classroom tanagrabeast
53	Bets, Bonds, and Kindergarteners jefftk
54	Coordination Schemes Are Capital Investments Raemon
55	The Point of Trade Eliezer Yudkowsky
56	Law of No Evidence Zvi
57	Discussion with Eliezer Yudkowsky on AGI interventions Rob Bensinger
58	Saving Time Scott Garrabrant
59	Intentionally Making Close Friends Neel Nanda
60	What Do GDP Growth Curves Really Mean? johnswentworth
61	The case for aligning narrowly superhuman models Ajeya Cotra
62	The bonds of family and community: Poverty and cruelty among Russian peasants in the late 19th century jasoncrawford
63	The Death of Behavioral Economics habryka
64	Why I Am Not in Charge Zvi
65	Politics is way too meta Rob Bensinger
66	Where do your eyes go? alkjash
67	Highlights from The Autobiography of Andrew Carnegie jasoncrawford
68	Lessons I've Learned from Self-Teaching TurnTrout
69	Grokking the Intentional Stance jbkjr
70	Agency in Conway’s Game of Life Alex Flint
71	Reneging Prosocially Duncan_Sabien
72	Experimentally evaluating whether honesty generalizes paulfchristiano
73	Birds, Brains, Planes, and AI: Against Appeals to the Complexity/Mysteriousness/Efficiency of the Brain Daniel Kokotajlo
74	Unnatural Categories Are Optimized for Deception Zack_M_Davis
75	Can you control the past? Joe Carlsmith
76	A Brief Introduction to Container Logistics Vitor
77	Core Pathways of Aging johnswentworth
78	Imitative Generalisation (AKA 'Learning the Prior') Beth Barnes
79	[Book review] Gödel, Escher, Bach: an in-depth explainer Sam Marks
80	Selection Has A Quality Ceiling johnswentworth
81	Book Review: A Pattern Language by Christopher Alexander lincolnquirk
82	Technological stagnation: Why I came around jasoncrawford
83	I'm from a parallel Earth with much higher coordination: AMA Ben Pace
84	Redwood Research’s current project Buck
85	What will 2040 probably look like assuming no singularity? Daniel Kokotajlo
86	Reward Is Not Enough Steven Byrnes
87	Coordination Skills I Wish I Had For the Pandemic Raemon
88	Dear Self; We Need To Talk About Social Media Elizabeth
89	Testing The Natural Abstraction Hypothesis: Project Intro johnswentworth
90	How To Get Into Independent Research On Alignment/Agency johnswentworth
91	Exercise: Taboo "Should" johnswentworth
92	Precognition jasoncrawford
93	Biology-Inspired AGI Timelines: The Trick That Never Works Eliezer Yudkowsky
94	Visible Thoughts Project and Bounty Announcement So8res
95	Unwitting cult leaders Kaj_Sotala
96	Zvi’s Thoughts on the Survival and Flourishing Fund (SFF) Zvi
97	RadVac Commercial Antibody Test Results johnswentworth
98	Curing insanity with malaria Swimmer963
99	Ngo and Yudkowsky on AI capability gains Eliezer Yudkowsky
100	Going Out With Dignity Tomás B.
101	Social behavior curves, equilibria, and radicalism Eric Neyman
102	The feeling of breaking an Overton window AnnaSalamon
103	The Coordination Frontier: Sequence Intro Raemon
104	The Telephone Theorem: Information At A Distance Is Mediated By Deterministic Constraints johnswentworth
105	Fixing The Good Regulator Theorem johnswentworth
106	Soares, Tallinn, and Yudkowsky discuss AGI cognition So8res
107	Where did the 5 micron number come from? Nowhere good. [Wired.com] Elizabeth
108	The Prototypical Negotiation Game johnswentworth
109	Three enigmas at the heart of our reasoning Alex Flint
110	Gravity Turn alkjash
111	Secure homes for digital people paulfchristiano
112	Killing the ants Joe Carlsmith
113	Choice Writings of Dominic Cummings Connor_Flexman
114	Shared Frames Are Capital Investments in Coordination johnswentworth
115	How do we prepare for final crunch time? Eli Tyre
116	AI Risk for Epistemic Minimalists Alex Flint
117	Kelly is (just) about logarithmic utility abramdemski
118	What's Stopping You? Neel Nanda
119	Testing The Natural Abstraction Hypothesis: Project Update johnswentworth
120	Building Blocks of Politics: An Overview of Selectorate Theory Yoav Ravid
121	The Case for Radical Optimism about Interpretability Quintin Pope
122	Coherence arguments imply a force for goal-directed behavior KatjaGrace
123	The Most Important Century: Sequence Introduction HoldenKarnofsky
124	Beware over-use of the agent model Alex Flint
125	Almost everyone should be less afraid of lawsuits alyssavance
126	Decoupling deliberation from competition paulfchristiano
127	Why did we wait so long for the threshing machine? jasoncrawford
128	The blue-minimising robot and model splintering Stuart_Armstrong
129	Tales from Prediction Markets ike
130	A non-magical explanation of Jeffrey Epstein lc
131	A few thought on the inner ring KatjaGrace
132	Deliberate Play jsteinhardt
133	Automating Auditing: An ambitious concrete technical research proposal evhub
134	Benchmarking an old chess engine on new hardware hippke
135	Transcript: "You Should Read HPMOR" TurnTrout
136	Concentration of Force Duncan_Sabien
137	Against neutrality about creating happy lives Joe Carlsmith
138	Rules for Epistemic Warfare? Gentzel
139	Morality is Scary Wei_Dai
140	Norm Innovation and Theory of Mind Raemon
141	Scott Alexander's "Ivermectin: Much More Than You Wanted To Know" Raemon
142	Bad names make you open the box Adam Zerner
143	Review of "Fun with +12 OOMs of Compute" adamShimi
144	Random facts can come back to bite you tailcalled
145	Coase's "Nature of the Firm" on Polyamory 1a3orn
146	The Upper Limit of Value Davidmanheim
147	Your Dog is Even Smarter Than You Think StyleOfDog
148	Robin Hanson's Grabby Aliens model explained - part 1 Writer

[-]Yoav Ravid1y70

How many posts were posted in total in 2021?

[-]Ben Pace1y50

3249.

(You can check by seeing the numbers next to the load more button on the all-posts page for 2021.)

[-]Raemon1y20

Huh, this was approximately the number I'd have guessed, but I remembered you should probably filter out events and low-karma posts, and I'm actually fairly surprised that when you do that the number drops down to 1040:

https://www.lesswrong.com/allPosts?after=2021-01-01&before=2022-01-01&limit=100&timeframe=yearly&includeEvents=false&karmaThreshold=0

[This comment is no longer endorsed by its author]Reply

[-]Ben Pace1y40

When I un-check "Show low karma" it goes down to 3233.

I didn't have "Show Events" checked.

[-]Raemon1y40

Whoops, totally wrong, that was the shortform number.

[-]Double1y40

4/8 of Eliezer Yudkowsky's posts in this list have a minus 9. Compare this with 1/7 for duncan_sabien, 0/6 for paulfchristiano, 0/5 for Daniel Kokotajlo, or 0/3 for HoldenKarnofsky. I wonder why that is.

[-]DragonGod1y1612

To state the obvious, Yudkowsky's writing style/rhetoric/argument annoys people.

Man I find myself curious about whoever medium-downvoted "The Death of Behavioral Economics". This seems like it throws a wrench in some of the original underpinnings of LessWrong. I get not thinking it was all that important, but surprised someone would vote strongly against it.

[-]Unnamed1y115

Presumably they agreed with Scott's criticisms of it, and thought they were severe enough problems to make it not Review-worthy?

I didn't get around to (?re-)reading & voting on it, but I might've wound up downvoting if I did. It does hit a pet peeve of mine, where people act as if 'bad discourse is okay if it's from a critic'.

Voting Results for the 2021 Review

66

Results

66