Paul Christiano describes his research methodology for AI alignment. He focuses on trying to develop algorithms that can work "in the worst case" - i.e. algorithms for which we can't tell any plausible story about how they could lead to egregious misalignment. He alternates between proposing alignment algorithms and trying to think of ways they could fail.
In the world where authors weren't expected to have any special privilege over their comment sections, I think roughly the same set of things would have happened (apart from you being temporarily banned).
If you want to go even further and say "authors should be actively discouraged from complaining about how their comment section is going", I guess yeah then it might be less likely to happen.
I'd expect in that world there'd still be a fair amount of social conflict unless mods really actively said "no", and if they did, we'd instead have a different set ...
The systems most likely to be rewarded in the training setup I described do seem likely to require the situational awareness to explicitly reason about how to get rewarded. If the global optimum of expected returns is achieved (only) by models that do this, then I am not clear in what sense it is not "definitionally" the optimization target? The strongest form of that claim is probably wrong, but we are working on a more careful / rigorous version at AIXI Labs. Briefly, I think that the trend of increasingly general environments trends towards selecting more uniquely for that optimization target.
Preface for LessWrong: When I think back on my most cherished memories of this community, I return to those honoring defiance in pursuit of goodness:
I cannot return to you and say “I defied and then I won.” But I’m at least here to say “I defied.”
I recommend reading this article on my website since the embeds and typography work better there: click here.
In January, Department of Homeland Security (DHS) officers...
Respect
(Thanks to Ajeya Cotra, Nick Beckstead, and Jared Kaplan for helpful comments on a draft of this post.)
I really don’t want my AI to strategically deceive me and resist my attempts to correct its behavior. Let’s call an AI that does so egregiously misaligned (for the purpose of this post).
Most possible ML techniques for avoiding egregious misalignment depend on detailed facts about the space of possible models: what kind of thing do neural networks learn? how do they generalize? how do they change as we scale them up?
But I feel like we should be possible to avoid egregious misalignment regardless of how the empirical facts shake out--it should be possible to get a model we build to do at least roughly what we want. So I’m interested in trying...
Iirc, the translation example was in some comment on one of the AI Alignment blog posts from ~2016, though I can't find it right now.
I wrote about translation in connection with IDA in this 2016 comment thread, although the form of the problem I wrote down is different enough from Paul's 2020 writeup that I'm not sure how much connection there is between the two.
On one side of this debate is Yudkowsky & Soares, who think that (if AI progress continues) we’re on a direct path to egregiously-misaligned, scheming, out-of-control, rogue superintelligence (ASI), not even slightly nice, in the absence of yet-to-be-invented breakthrough technical alignment ideas.
On the other side of this debate is almost everyone who works on or studies LLMs. Some of them are very concerned about egregious scheming, others much less so, and as a group they’re equally or more concerned about lots of other potential AI problems—AI-assisted bioterrorism, AI-assisted dictatorships, etc. And if they’re concerned about egregious misalignment and scheming, they’ll often say that it would come about through being in too much of a rush, or careless programmers, or bad actors, etc., as opposed to the simpler...
There are missing insights which cause humans to still do things LLMs can't. As those are found, LLMs might jump way ahead very abruptly as it is way superhuman in many ways already and if a system matched humans in all ways while keeping these skills it would take over pretty easily I suspect.
Oh, I wasn’t talking about changing the LLM learning algorithm, training approach, etc. Of course if you change any of those things, then you can get different results for both capabilities and alignment. I meant, like, I don’t expect LLMs as trained today to pass some threshold beyond which they will logically reason themselves into being egregiously misaligned.