Nate Soares moderates a long conversation between Richard Ngo and Eliezer Yudkowsky on AI alignment. The two discuss topics like "consequentialism" as a necessary part of strong intelligence, the difficulty of alignment, and potential pivotal acts to address existential risk from advanced AI.
I’m talking about post-training for current systems, particularly RLVR on rich distributions of long horizon tasks, which incentivizes learning about the reward mechanism “in-context” (the modern rebranding of meta-learning).
Preface for LessWrong: When I think back on my most cherished memories of this community, I return to those honoring defiance in pursuit of goodness:
I cannot return to you and say “I defied and then I won.” But I’m at least here to say “I defied.”
I recommend reading this article on my website since the embeds and typography work better there: click here.
In January, Department of Homeland Security (DHS) officers...
Respect
(Thanks to Ajeya Cotra, Nick Beckstead, and Jared Kaplan for helpful comments on a draft of this post.)
I really don’t want my AI to strategically deceive me and resist my attempts to correct its behavior. Let’s call an AI that does so egregiously misaligned (for the purpose of this post).
Most possible ML techniques for avoiding egregious misalignment depend on detailed facts about the space of possible models: what kind of thing do neural networks learn? how do they generalize? how do they change as we scale them up?
But I feel like we should be possible to avoid egregious misalignment regardless of how the empirical facts shake out--it should be possible to get a model we build to do at least roughly what we want. So I’m interested in trying...
Iirc, the translation example was in some comment on one of the AI Alignment blog posts from ~2016, though I can't find it right now.
I wrote about translation in connection with IDA in this 2016 comment thread, although the form of the problem I wrote down is different enough from Paul's 2020 writeup that I'm not sure how much connection there is between the two.
On one side of this debate is Yudkowsky & Soares, who think that (if AI progress continues) we’re on a direct path to egregiously-misaligned, scheming, out-of-control, rogue superintelligence (ASI), not even slightly nice, in the absence of yet-to-be-invented breakthrough technical alignment ideas.
On the other side of this debate is almost everyone who works on or studies LLMs. Some of them are very concerned about egregious scheming, others much less so, and as a group they’re equally or more concerned about lots of other potential AI problems—AI-assisted bioterrorism, AI-assisted dictatorships, etc. And if they’re concerned about egregious misalignment and scheming, they’ll often say that it would come about through being in too much of a rush, or careless programmers, or bad actors, etc., as opposed to the simpler...
There are missing insights which cause humans to still do things LLMs can't. As those are found, LLMs might jump way ahead very abruptly as it is way superhuman in many ways already and if a system matched humans in all ways while keeping these skills it would take over pretty easily I suspect.
Oh, I wasn’t talking about changing the LLM learning algorithm, training approach, etc. Of course if you change any of those things, then you can get different results for both capabilities and alignment. I meant, like, I don’t expect LLMs as trained today to pass some threshold beyond which they will logically reason themselves into being egregiously misaligned.
A few days ago I tried AI again, after several months of not using it at all. We're dealing with some housing-related matters, and I asked Claude, ChatGPT and Gemini for advice what to do in a certain situation. (I won't give the details here, because they're personal and not that important for my point.) All three models independently gave the same advice, which sounded really convincing to me. But we have some friends with experience in such matters, who said that following this advice would be catastrophic and we should do the opposite. Eventually we fo...