AI ALIGNMENT FORUM
AF

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13What happens to variance as neural network training is scaled? What does it imply about "lottery tickets"?Q

7mo

3

23Suggestions of posts on the AF to reviewQ

Adam Shimi, johnswentworth

8d

13

14Poll: Which variables are most strategically relevant?Q

Daniel Kokotajlo, Noa Nabeshima, Noa Nabeshima

1mo

17

13Will OpenAI's work unintentionally increase existential risks related to AI?Q

Adam Shimi, Matthew "Vaniver" Graves

6mo

41

13What technologies could cause world GDP doubling times to be <8 years?Q

Daniel Kokotajlo

2mo

14

7What are the best precedents for industries failing to invest in valuable AI research?Q

Daniel Kokotajlo

2mo

7

20Best reasons for pessimism about impact of impact measures?Q

Alex Turner, Matthew "Vaniver" Graves

2y

45

20How common is it for one entity to have a 3+ year technological lead on its nearest competitor?Q

Daniel Kokotajlo

1y

1

7In a multipolar scenario, how do people expect systems to be trained to interact with systems developed by other labs? Q

3mo

4

19What Decision Theory is Implied By Predictive Processing?Q

johnswentworth, Abram Demski

5mo

10

15Problems Involving Abstraction?Q

4mo

8

34Forecasting Thread: AI TimelinesQ

Amanda Ngo, Daniel Kokotajlo, Ben Pace, datscilly

6mo

23