AI ALIGNMENT FORUM
AF

Practical Guide to Anthropics
AnthropicsSleeping Beauty Paradox
Frontpage

11

Anthropic decision theory for self-locating beliefs

by Stuart_Armstrong
12th Jul 2021
1 min read
2

11

AnthropicsSleeping Beauty Paradox
Frontpage
Next:
Anthropics: different probabilities, different questions
No comments25 karma
Log in to save where you left off
New Comment
Moderation Log
More from Stuart_Armstrong
View more
Curated and popular this week
0Comments

This is a link post to the "Anthropic decision theory for self-locating beliefs" paper, with the abstract:

This paper sets out to resolve how agents ought to act in the Sleeping Beauty problem and various related anthropic (self-locating belief) problems, not through the calculation of anthropic probabilities, but through finding the correct decision to make. It creates an anthropic decision theory (ADT) that decides these problems from a small set of principles. By doing so, it demonstrates that the attitude of agents with regards to each other (selfish or altruistic) changes the decisions they reach, and that it is very important to take this into account. To illustrate ADT, it is then applied to two major anthropic problems and paradoxes, the Presumptuous Philosopher and Doomsday problems, thus resolving some issues about the probability of human extinction.

The key points of that paper are also available in this post sequence.