Calibration

• https://bayes-up.web.app/
• http://acritch.com/media/mphd/calibration-exercises.pdf
• http://acritch.com/credence-game/
• http://confidence.success-equation.com/
• https://calibration-practice.neocities.org/
• All different URLs for the same application:
  • https://programs.clearerthinking.org/calibrate_your_judgment.html
  • https://www.openphilanthropy.org/calibration
  • https://80000hours.org/calibration-training/
• http://www.2pih.com/caltest/
• https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.the_calibration_game
• https://www.metaculus.com/tutorials/
  • https://www.metaculus.com/help/prediction-resources/ 
• https://outsidetheasylum.blog/probability-calibration/
• https://peterattiamd.com/confidence/
• http://quantifiedintuitions.org/calibration

• http://web.archive.org/web/20100529074053/http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/tom/?p=129
• http://credencecalibration.com/ (dead link)
• https://calibration.lazdini.lv/ (dead link)
• http://web.archive.org/web/20161020032514/http://calibratedprobabilityassessment.org/
• https://predictionbook.com/credence_games/try
  • Read-only; recommends https://fatebook.io/ 
• https://calibration-training.netlify.app/ (dead link)
• http://www.2pih.com/caltest/ (broken)

• https://bayes-up.web.app/
• http://acritch.com/media/mphd/calibration-exercises.pdf
• http://acritch.com/credence-game/
• http://confidence.success-equation.com/
• https://calibration-practice.neocities.org/
• http://web.archive.org/web/20100529074053/http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/tom/?p=129
• http://credencecalibration.com/
All different URLs for the same application:
• https://programs.clearerthinking.org/calibrate_your_judgment.html
• https://www.openphilanthropy.org/calibration or
• https://80000hours.org/calibration-training/ (Different URLs for same application.)
• https://calibration.lazdini.lv/
• http://www.2pih.com/caltest/
• http://web.archive.org/web/20161020032514/http://calibratedprobabilityassessment.org/
• https://predictionbook.com/credence_games/try
• https://calibration-training.netlify.app/
• https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.the_calibration_game
• https://www.metaculus.com/tutorials/
  • https://www.metaculus.com/help/prediction-resources/ 
• https://outsidetheasylum.blog/probability-calibration/
• https://peterattiamd.com/confidence/
• http://quantifiedintuitions.org/calibration

Exercises that are dead/unmaintained:

• http://web.archive.org/web/20100529074053/http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/tom/?p=129
• http://credencecalibration.com/ (dead link)
• https://calibration.lazdini.lv/ (dead link)
• http://web.archive.org/web/20161020032514/http://calibratedprobabilityassessment.org/
• https://predictionbook.com/credence_games/try
  • Read-only; recommends https://fatebook.io/ 
• https://calibration-training.netlify.app/ (dead link)

• https://bayes-up.web.app/
• http://acritch.com/media/mphd/calibration-exercises.pdf
• http://acritch.com/credence-game/
• http://confidence.success-equation.com/
• https://calibration-practice.neocities.org/
• http://web.archive.org/web/20100529074053/http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/tom/?p=129
• http://credencecalibration.com/
• https://programs.clearerthinking.org/calibrate_your_judgment.html
• https://www.openphilanthropy.org/calibration or https://80000hours.org/calibration-training/ (Different URLs for same application.)
• https://calibration.lazdini.lv/
• http://www.2pih.com/caltest/
• http://web.archive.org/web/20161020032514/http://calibratedprobabilityassessment.org/
• https://predictionbook.com/credence_games/try
• https://calibration-training.netlify.app/
• https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.the_calibration_game
• https://www.metaculus.com/tutorials/
• https://outsidetheasylum.blog/probability-calibration/
• https://peterattiamd.com/confidence/
• http://quantifiedintuitions.org/calibration

Note that all expressions of quantified confidence in beliefs can be well- or poorly- calibrated. For example, calibration applies to whether a person'person's 95% confidence intervals captures the true outcome 95% of the time.

List of Calibration Exercises

(From: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LdFbx9oqtKAAwtKF3/list-of-probability-calibration-exercises)

• https://bayes-up.web.app/
• http://acritch.com/credence-game/
• http://confidence.success-equation.com/
• https://calibration-practice.neocities.org/
• http://web.archive.org/web/20100529074053/http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/tom/?p=129
• http://credencecalibration.com/
• https://programs.clearerthinking.org/calibrate_your_judgment.html
• https://www.openphilanthropy.org/calibration or https://80000hours.org/calibration-training/ (Different URLs for same application.)
• https://calibration.lazdini.lv/
• http://www.2pih.com/caltest/
• http://web.archive.org/web/20161020032514/http://calibratedprobabilityassessment.org/
• https://predictionbook.com/credence_games/try
• https://calibration-training.netlify.app/
• https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.the_calibration_game
• https://www.metaculus.com/tutorials/
• https://outsidetheasylum.blog/probability-calibration/
• https://peterattiamd.com/confidence/
• http://quantifiedintuitions.org/calibration