Modest Epistemology

Applied to On being downvoted by Adam Zerner 12d ago
Applied to The Error of Crowds by Yoav Ravid 7mo ago

Modest Epistemology is the claim that average opinions are more accurate thatthan individual opinions, and individuals should take advantage of this by moving toward average opinions, even in cases where they have strong arguments for their own views and against more typical views. (Another name for this concept is "the wisdom of crowds" -- that name is much more popular outside of LessWrong.) In terms of inside view vs outside view, we can describe modest epistemology as the belief that inside views are quite fallible and outside views much more robust; therefore, we should weigh outside-view considerations much more heavily.

Applied to Dangers of deference by Noosphere89 9mo ago
Applied to Notes on Humility by David Gross 1y ago
Applied to Common sense as a prior by MichaelA 2y ago
Applied to The Proper Use of Doubt by Yoav Ravid 2y ago