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Burdensome Details

Edited by Zack M. Davis, Vladimir Nesov, et al. last updated 17th Nov 2009

The conjunction rule of probability theory states that a conjunction (A and B) is necessarily less probable than one of the conjuncts alone (A). Adding more details to a theory may make it sound more plausible to human ears because of the , even as the story becomes normatively less probable, as burdensome details drive the probability of the conjunction down (this is known as ). Any detail you add has to be pinned down by a sufficient amount of evidence; all the details you make no claim about can be summed over.

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  • Burdensome Details

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conjunction fallacy
Conjunction fallacy
representativeness heuristic
Representativeness heuristic
Discussion0
Discussion0
Epistemic hygiene
Occam's razor