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Reality Is Normal

Edited by Zack_M_Davis, Vladimir_Nesov, et al. last updated 10th Mar 2023

If at any point some truth should seem shocking or bizarre, it's your brain that labels it as such; reality simply is what it is. Surprise is the measure of a poor hypothesis; a good model puts probability mass on outcomes that are more likely to actually occur. If your model of reality consistently makes bad predictions — if the real world seems utterly strange or surreal to your intuitions — then it's your intuitions that need to change; the world isn't going to. Reality is normal.

Blog posts

  • Think Like Reality
  • Beware the Unsurprised

See also

  • Egan's law
  • Joy in the merely real
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