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Underconfidence

Edited by bjr, Grognor, PeerInfinity, Vladimir_Nesov, et al. last updated 17th Mar 2012

Underconfidence is the state of being more uncertain than is justified, given your priors and the evidence you are aware of.

Blog posts

  • "I don't know."
  • The Sin of Underconfidence
  • The Importance of Self-Doubt by multifoliaterose

See also

  • Overconfidence
  • Modesty
  • Fallacy of gray
  • I don't know
  • Motivated skepticism
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