The goal of this essay is to help you understand EfficientZero, a reinforcement learning agent that obtains better-than-human median performance on a set of 26 Atari games after just two hours of real-time experience playing each game.

Specifically, it gets 116% of human median performance on the data-limited Atari 100k benchmark. The previously-best algorithm only reached about 41% of median human performance, so this is a reasonably large leap.

Chart stolen from paper

Chart of performance

The benchmark is called 100k because agents only interact with the environment for 100,000 steps -- about two hours. Note also that the human benchmarks were also set after the humans in question had about two hours of experience on the game. So EfficientZero seems to -- at least on this set of games -- exceed humans in sample efficiency specifically.

This is particularly impressive when you recall that, going into this, the agents were entirely ignorant of anything whatsoever about the world. The networks of their brains were initialized with random values. Humans manage to do pretty well on Atari after two hours, but we've pretrained in the actual world for many years, which lets us apply analogies from this world, experience from other video games, and so on. This agent managed to do comparably well with none of these advantages.

(Granted, the 100k benchmark focuses on Atari environments which are relatively easy to make progress in, because it was meant to be used for sample-efficiency benchmarks. It excludes extremely-difficult-to-explore environments like Montezuma's Revenge, where the first reward is quite hard to get.)

So. After reading this, you should understand how EfficientZero works, and how the changes in EfficientZero improve upon its predecessors. You should also know what further improvements to it are likely in the coming 3 to 24 months.

My target reader is someone who can program, or is at least broadly technically literate. They should be reasonably familiar with the basic principles of supervised machine learning, but they do not need to be particularly up-to-date with reinforcement learning. Reading this will nevertheless be heavy going if you aren't at least a little familiar with reinforcement learning; expect to have to reread some stuff.

I have aggressively and in some cases silently cut content that is not necessary for understanding the contributions of EfficientZ...

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