I think (80% credence) that Mechanistically Eliciting Latent Behaviors in Language Models would be able to find a steering vector that would cause the model to bypass the password protection if ~100 vectors were trained (maybe less). This method is totally unsupervised (all you need to do is pick out the steering vectors at the end that correspond to the capabilities you want).
I would run this experiment if I had the model. Is there a way to get the password protected model?
Thanks for pointing this out! Our original motivation for doing it that way was that we thought of the fine-tuning on FineWeb-Edu as a "coherence" step designed to restore the model's performance after ablation, which damaged it a lot. We noticed that this "coherence" step helped validation loss on both forget and retain. However, your criticism is valid, so we have updated the paper so that we retrain on the training distribution (which contains some of the WMDP-bio forget set). We still see that while the loss on FineWeb-Edu decreases to almost its value before ablation, the loss on the WMDP-bio forget set is around 0.1 nats above its value before ablation, showing that it is harder to retrain virology after ablation than just FineWeb-Edu data. Since we re-train on the training distribution (N=12 times with different data), we would expect that both losses would be retrainable at roughly the same rate, but this is not the case, showing that localization and then ablation has an effect.