AI ALIGNMENT FORUM
AF

Steve Newman
Ω26100
Message
Dialogue
Subscribe

Software engineer and repeat startup founder; best known for Writely (aka Google Docs). Now starting https://www.aisoup.org to foster constructive expert conversations about open questions in AI and AI policy, and posting at https://amistrongeryet.substack.com and https://x.com/snewmanpv.

Posts

Sorted by New

Wikitag Contributions

Comments

Sorted by
Newest
No wikitag contributions to display.
What's going on with AI progress and trends? (As of 5/2025)
snewman4mo90

GPT-4.5 is going to be quickly deprecated

It's still a data point saying that OpenAI chose to do a large training run, though, right? Even if they're currently not planning to make sustained use of the resulting model in deployment. (Also, my shaky understanding is that expectations are for a GPT-5 to be released in the coming months and that it may be a distilled + post-trained derivative of GPT-4.5, meaning GPT-5 would be downstream of a large-compute-budget training process?)

Reply3
25Interpreting the METR Time Horizons Post
5mo
0