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Forecast
Edited by
Vladimir_Nesov
,
PeerInfinity
,
Grognor
,
bjr
last updated
10th Mar 2012
Blog posts
The 80% Forecasting Solution
by
Robin Hanson
See
also
Planning fallacy
Exploratory engineering
Prediction
,
prediction market
,
possibility
Representativeness bias
,
Absurdity heuristic
Hindsight bias
Existential risk
Discussion
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Discussion
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