It is advised to contact me if you wish to read this, the proofs aren't very edited.

**Lemma 1:** *If ** is a Polish space and ** is a compact subset and **, and **, then there is a third bounded continuous function **which fulfills the following three properties: First, **. Second, **. Third, **.*

To prove this, we will use the Michael selection theorem to craft a continuous function with these properties. Accordingly, let the set-valued function be defined as: if , , and if , then:

Assuming there was a continous function where , it'd get us our desired results. This is because:

And then, because is a selection from , we can make these quantities bigger by selecting from in the supremum as well, to get:

And then we can use the definition of in the two cases (the latter case is because implies ) to get:

And then we use the fact that we abbreviated the supremum of the difference between and as to get:

So, we'd have one of our three results, that . Our second desired result that mimicks on is trivial by the definition of . And finally,

And then, we do the ususual transition from f'' to the \psi function that it's a selection of,

And then, because is always when , and is always bounded in for the latter part, this turns into:

So we have our desired result of . As we have established that all three results follow from finding a continuous selection of , we just have to do that now. For this, we will be using the Michael selection theorem. In order to invoke it, we need to check that is paracompact (all Polish spaces are paracompact), that is a Banach space (it is), and verify some conditions on the sets produced.

We need that the function is nonempty for all . This is trivial by the definition of for , but for the other case, we need to verify that

Is a nonempty set. This is easy because witnesses nonemptiness. We need that the function is convex for all . This is easy because it's the intersection of two convex sets when , which is the trickier case to check. We also need that the function is closed for all , which is true because it's either a point or it's an intersection of two closed sets.

All that we're missing in order to invoke the Michael Selection theorem to get a continuous function that works is verifying lower hemicontinuity for the function .

Lower hemicontinuity is: If limits to , and , there's some subsequence and where , and limits to .

In order to show this, we can take three different cases.

The first possible case is where infinitely many of the lie in , so the limit point must lie in as well. Then, can be the subsequence which lies in , and can be the subsequence , which is the only possible choice of value that lies in . Due to continuity of , this obviously converges to , which is the only possible choice of value for because .

The second possible case is where only finitely many of the lie in , but yet the limit point lies in as well, like limiting to the border of a closed set from outside the closed set. Let be the subsequence where you get rid of all the x's in the approximating sequence that lie in . Notice that \, instead of being written as

Can be written as the single interval

And now, let be defined as:

Due to continuity of all these functions, and limiting to , the limiting value is:

Now, because

and

Therefore,

Therefore,

So our limiting y value reduces to:

Also, by similar arguments, we have:

and

Therefore

So, our limiting value reduces to merely , ie, our point selected from , and we've shown lower hemicontinuity in this case. That just leaves one last case left over, the case where .

Again, as before, in this case, is the interval

Let be how close the point is to the bottom ( for the bottom, or the top, when ). For your sequence limiting to , it's made by picking out all the which lie in , only finitely many, and the are given by:

Because of the continuity of the functions (supremum of two continuous functions) and (inf of two continuous functions), the limit to:

Which is just . So, we have lower hemicontinuity in this last case.

And therefore, we have lower hemicontinuity overall for , and so has a continuous selection function by the Michael Selection Theorem, and said selection function fulfills the requisite properties.**Lemma 2:** *For all ** and **, if a functional ** has a set ** as an **-almost-support, and has **, then ** where ** is the Lipschitz constant of **.*

Proof: Via Lemma 1, there's a function with the properties that:

Now, we can go:

And we're done. The critical steps in the second inequality were due to Lipschitzness of , and the fact that and agree on which is an -almost-support for , respectively.**Proposition 1:** *For a continuous function **, the metric ** completely metrizes the set ** equipped with the subspace topology.*

To do this, we'll need four parts. First, we need to show that is even a metric. Second, we'll need to show that for all open balls in the metric, you can fit an open ball in the original metric within it (so all the open sets induced by the metric were present in the original subspace topology). Second, we'll need to show that for all open balls in the original metric that lie within the support of , we can fit an open ball induced by the metric within it (so all the open sets in the original subspace topology can be induced by the metric), and parts 2 and 3 let us show that the metric induces the subspace topology on the support of . Finally, part 4 is showing that any Cauchy sequence in the metric is Cauchy in the original complete metric, so we can't have any cases of missing limits points, and showing that all Cauchy sequences in the support of , according to the metric, must have their limit point lying in the support of , so limits never lead outside of the support of . This then shows that is a complete metrization of the support of (it induces the same topology as the subspace topology), and all limit points lie in the same space,

So, to begin with, if is your original Polish space, pick a complete metrization of the space. Then, ensure that the maximum distance is 1 (this can always be done while preserving the exact same Cauchy sequences, and not affecting the topology in any way, and it's still a metric), and call that .

Also, there's some continuous function that you'll be updating. The set is defined as , and is clearly an open subset of because the preimage of (an open set) must be open due to the continuity of .

Now, define

To show it's a metric, we first need symmetry (which is obvious, because and and absolute value of difference are all symmetric). For identity of indiscernibles, the forward direction, the fact that is bounded below 1 proves that , always, so for to be 0, then , so . For the reverse direction, must be 0, because the equation for distance would reduce to .

That just leaves the triangle inequality, and here, we'll critically use the fact that the original metric was clipped so it's never above 1. Our goal is to show that

Without loss of generality, we can assume that (otherwise flip and ), so we can split into three cases, which are:

For the first case, we have:

For the second case, we can do the same exact argument, just replace that in the second line with . The third case is the tricky one, we'll work backwards. Remember that our inequalities are:

Now, let's proceed.

Then we do some regrouping, to yield:

At point, we remember that because we bounded our initial distance, and because of the problem case we're in, to get:

And then, we just remember that in this problem case, to get:

And we're done with the triangle inequality, so d|L is indeed a metric.

Well, is it a complete metric for ? Well, by looking at the definition of , and remembering that is always 1 or more because the likelihood function is bounded in , we have that:

When and are in the support of , so any Cauchy sequence in must also be Cauchy in . Now, either a Cauchy sequence has its limit point also lying in the support of , in which case we're good, or it has its limit point lying on the edge of the support of (and outside the set), where . However, in that case, the sequence in cannot be Cauchy, because would diverge to infinity due to the continuity of and the limit point being on the edge where , so it's impossible that you could have some finite point that'd be close to all the rest, the absolute value term in the distance would forbid Cauchyness. So, it's a complete metric for the support of .

All that remains is to show that it induces the same topology as the subspace topology that the open set should have. Because the support of is itself open, and the space is metrized by the distance metric , any open set in the support of can be written as the intersection of an open set in and the open set , and so it's open in , and can be written as the union of tiny open balls in the original distance metric.

So, we'll proceed by showing that any open ball (w.r.t. the metric) within the support of , can fit some open ball (w.r.t. the metric) in it that engulfs the center point, and any open ball (w.r.t. the metric) within the support of , can fit some open ball (w.r.t. the metric) in it that engulfs the center point.

If we can do it, than because any open set in the subspace topology can be written as the union of a bunch of open balls centered at each point in the open set according to the metric, and each of those open balls according to the metric has their center point engulfed by a smaller open ball according to the metric, we'd be able to build the open set in the subspace topology out of a union of open sets in the induced topology.

And also, any open set in the -induced topology can be written as a union of infinitely many open balls centered at each relevant point, and because each of those open balls has their center point engulfed by a smaller open ball according to the metric, so we can build any open set in the -inducd topology out of a union of open sets in the original topology.

The net result is that the induced topology and the subspace topology have the same open sets. So, let's get working on showing that we can fit the two sorts of balls inside each other.

In one direction, if you have a ball of size according to the metric , then because always, a ball of size according to the metric centered at the same point will fit entirely within the original ball, so we have one half of our topology argument done.

In the other direction, if you have a ball of size according to the metric , around some point , then there's some distance around where the function only varies by .

At this point, we can then fit a ball of size around the point (according to the original metric), and it will lie within the ball of size around the point according to the metric. The reason for this is:

And then, because we selected our distance between and so that and only differ by at most (because a ball of size suffices to accomplish this), we have:

And then, because and is very small, we have

So, this small of a ball in the original distance metric suffices to slot entirely inside a ball of size centered at in the metric.

And that's all we need!**Theorem 1:** *The set of infradistributions (set form) is isomorphic to the set of infradistributions (functional form). The ** part of the isomorphism is given by **, and the ** part of the isomorphism is given by **, where ** and ** is the convex conjugate of **.*

Our first order of business is establishing the isomorphism. Our first direction is to and back is exactly. By upper completion, and reproved analogues of Proposition 2 and Theorem 1 from "Basic inframeasure theory", which an interested party can reprove if they want to see it, we can characterize as

And then, our can further be reexpressed as

Also, , so we can rewrite this as:

and, by the definition of the convex conjugate, and the space of finite signed measures being the dual space of , and being a functional applied to an element, this is...

So, our original set is identical to the convex-conjugate set, when we go from to back to a set of sa-measures.

Proof Phase 2: In the reverse direction for isomorphism, assume that fulfills the conditions (we'll really only need continuity and concavity)

We want to show that

\mathbb{E}_{\{(m,b)|b\ge(h')^{*}(m)\}}(f)=h(f)

Let's begin.

Given an , we have a natural candidate for minimizing the , just set it equal to . So then we get

And this is just... , and, because is continuous over , and concave, then is continuous over , and convex, so . From that, we get

and we're done with isomorphism.

So, in our first direction, we're going to derive the conditions on the functional from the condition on the set, so we can assume nonemptiness, closure, convexity, upper completion, projected-compactness, and normalization, and derive monotonicity, concavity, normalization, Lipschitzness, and compact almost-support (CAS) from that.

For monotonicity, remember that all points in the infradistribution set are a-measures, so if , then

We could do that because all the measure components are actual measures.

For concavity,

And we're done with that. For normalization,

And

So we have normalization.

For Lipschitzness, we first observe that compact-projection (the minimal points, when projected down to their measure components, make a set with compact closure) enforces that there's an upper bound on the value of a minimal point , because otherwise you could pick a sequence with unbounded , and it'd have no convergent subsequence of measures, which contradicts precompactness of the minimal points projected down to their measure components.

Then, we observe that points in correspond perfectly to hyperplanes that lie above the graph of , and a minimal point is "you shift your hyperplane down as much as you can as much as you can until you can't shift it down any more without starting to cut into the function ". Further, for every function , you can make a hyperplane tangent to the function at that point by the Hahn-Banach theorem, which must correspond to a minimal point.

Putting it together, the hypograph of is exactly the region below all its tangent hyperplanes. And we know all the tangent hyperplanes correspond to minimal points, and their Lipschitz constants correspond to the value of the minimal points. Which are bounded. So, Compact-Projection in implies is Lipschitz.

Finally, we'll want compact almost-support. A set of measures is compact iff the amount of measure is upper-bounded, and, for all , there is a compact set where all the measures have measure outside of .

So, given that the set of measures corresponding to is compact by the compact-projection property, we want to show that the functional has compact almost-support. To do this, we'll observe that if is the inf of a bunch of functions, and all functions think two different points are only a little ways apart in value, then must think they're only a little distance apart in value. Keeping that in mind, we have:

And then, we can think of a minimal point as corresponding to a hyperplane and , and is the inf of all of them, so to bound the distance between these two values, we just need to assess the maximum size of the gap between those values over all minimal points/tangent hyperplanes. Thus, we can get:

And then, we can do some canceling and get:

And then, because f' was selected to be 0 on , which makes up all but of the measure for all measures present in , we can upper-bound by , so we have that

And so, is a compact -almost-support for , and this argument works for all , so is CAS, and that's the last condition we need. Thus, if is an infradistribution (set form), the expectation functional h is an infradistribution (expectation form).

Now for the other direction, where we assume monotonicity, concavity, normalization, Lipschitzness, and CAS on an infradistribution (expectation form) and show that the induced form fulfills nonemptiness, convexity, closure, upper completion, projection-compactness, normalization, and being a set of a-measures.

Remember, our specification of the corresponding set was:

Where is the function given by , and is the convex conjugate of .

First, being a nonempty set of a-measures. Because there's an isomorphism linking points of the set and hyperplanes above the graph of , we just need to establish that no hyperplanes above the graph of can slope down in the direction of a nonnegative function (as this certifies that the measure component must be an actual measure), and no hyperplanes above the graph of can assign 0 a value below 0 (as this corresponds to the term, and can be immediately shown by normalization).

What we do is go "assume there's a where the linear functional corresponding to isn't a measure, ie, there's some nonnegative function where ". Well, because of monotonicity for (one of the assumed properties), we have .... And, because all affine functionals are made by taking a linear functional and displacing it, ..., decreases at a linear rate, so eventually the hyperplane and cross over, but was assumed to be above always, so we have a contradiction.

Therefore, all hyperplanes above must have their linear functional component corresponding to an actual measure, ie, being an a-measure. And we get nonemptiness from the concavity of , so we can pick any function and use the Hahn-Banach theorem to make a tangent hyperplane to h that touches at that point, certifying nonemptiness.

By the way, the convex conjugate, , can be reexpressed as .

For closure and convexity: By monotonicity of and normalization, , and is continuous (Lipschitz) on , and concave, so is proper, continuous on , and convex, so, by the Wikipedia page on "Closed Convex Function", is a closed convex function, and then by the Wikipedia page on "Convex Conjugate" in the Properties section, is convex and closed. From the Wikipedia page on "Closed Convex Function", this means that the epigraph of is closed, and also the epigraph of a convex function is convex. This takes care of closure and convexity for our .

Time for upper-completeness. Assume that lies in the epigraph. Our task now is to show that lies in the epigraph. This is equivalent to showing that . Let's begin.

And we're done.

Normalization of the resulting set is easy. Going from to a (maybe)-inframeasure back to is identity as established earlier, so all we have to do is show that a failure of normalization in a (maybe)-inframeasure makes the resulting not normalized. Thus, if our is normalized, and it makes an that isn't normalized, then going back makes a non-normalized , which contradicts isomorphism. So, assume there's a failure of normalization in . Then , or , so either or and we get a failure of normalization for which is impossible. So must be normalized.

That just leaves compact-projection. We know that a set of measures is precompact iff there's a bound on their values, and for all , there's a compact set where all the measure components have measure outside of that set.

First, we can observe that no hyperplane above can have a Lipschitz constant above the maximal Lipschitz constant for the function , because if it increased more steeply in some direction, you could go in the other direction to decrease as steeply as possible, and would be constrained to decrease strictly less steeply in that direction, so if you went far enough in that direction, your hyperplane and would intersect, which is impossible. Thus, Lipschitzness of enforces that there can be no point in the set with too much measure, which gives us one half of compact-projection for .

For the other half, CAS for ensures that for all , there is a compact set where

What we'll do is establish that no hyperplane lying above can have a slope more than in the direction of a function that's in and is 0 on . Let be such a function fulfilling those properties that makes some hyperplane above h slope down too hard. Then

Because going in the direction of a negative function decreases your value, so the Gateaux derivative would be negative, and is in , and we have CAS on .

Now, we can realize that as we travel from 0 to to to , our vector of travel is always in the direction of , which can't be too negative. Each additional added drops the value of by at most . However, each additional added drops the value of (our assumed functional that's sloping down too hard in the direction) by more than that quantity, so eventually will cross over to be lower than , so can't correspond to an a-measure in , and we have a contradiction.

Therefore, regardless of the point in , its measure component must assign any function that's 0 on and bounded in a value of at most. We can then realize that this can only happen to a measure that assigns or less measure to the set (otherwise you can back off from your continuous function to a discontinuous indicator function).

Thus, given our , we've found a compact set where the measure component of all points in assign or less value to the outside of that set, and this can be done for all , certifying the last missing piece for compact-projection of (because the projection is precompact iff the set of measures is bounded above in amount of measure present, and for all , there's a compact set where all the measures assign measure outside of that set.

And that's the last condition we need to conclude that the set form of an infradistribution (functional form) is an infradistribution (set form), and we're done.**Proposition 2:** *For any infradistribution ** there is a unique closed set ** which is the intersection of all supports for **, and is a support itself.*

Proof sketch: The proof splits into three parts. First, we show that if is a support and is an -almost support, then is a -almost support, by picking two functions which agree on and using them to construct a third function which has similar expectations to both of them, due to agreeing with the first function on and agreeing with the second function on , so our arbitrary functions which agree on the intersection have similar expectation values. A support is precisely an -almost support for all , so actual supports are preserved under finite intersection.

Second, we show that supports are preserved under countable intersections, which critically relies on compact -almost supports for all . Roughly, that part of the proof proceeds by using our compact almost-support in order to make a sequence of compact almost-supports nested in each other, and showing they converge in Hausdorff distance, so two functions which agree on the intersection of all the compact sets are very close to agreeing on some finite almost-support and have similar expectation values, so the intersection of compact sets is an almost-support. The property of being an almost-support is hereditary upwards, and we can show our countable intersection of compact sets is a subset of the countable intersection we're interested in, so it's an almost-suppport. However, we can shrink to 0 so it's a support.

Finally, we show that supports are preserved under arbitrary intersections by using strong Lindelofness of (because it's Polish) to reduce the arbitrary intersection case to the countable intersection case which has already been solved.

For the finite intersection case, let be a support and be an -almost support. Our task is to show that is an -almost support, by showing that two functions which agree on it can't be more than apart in expectation value.

Pick any two functions and where . Let's define a on as follows. If , then . If , and , then . Our first task is to show that is continuous.

If limits to , we can split into three cases. Our first case is where , and . Then past a certain n, will always not be in (complement of a closed set is open), and so its values are dictated by , which is continuous, and we have continuity of at that point. The second case where and is symmetric, but with the values being dictated by instead. Our third case where is the only one which takes some care. As limits to , then both and (not the restrictions, the original functions!) limit to (because and agree on ) so no matter how our toggles back and forth between and , we have continuity.

Now that we know is continuous on , we can use the Tietze Extension Theorem to extend to a continuous function on the entire space , because the union of two closed sets is closed, and we can ensure that the extension stays in as well. (because is copying either or ), call this extension .

Now, because

and is a support, then . However, since

(because and agree on ), then