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Thomas Kwa suggested that consequentialist agents seem to have less superficial (observation, belief state) -> action mappings. EG a shard agent might have:
An "it's good to give your friends chocolate" subshard
A "give dogs treats" subshard
-> An impulse to give dogs chocolate, even though the shard agent knows what the result would be
But a consequentialist would just reason about what happens, and not mess with those heuristics. (OFC, consequentialism would be a matter of degree)
In this way, changing a small set of decision-relevant features (e.g. "Brown dog treat" -> "brown ball of chocolate") changes the consequentialist's action logits a lot, way more than it changes the shard agent's logits. In a squinty, informal way, the (belief state -> logits) function has a higher Lipschitz constant/is more smooth for the shard agent than for the consequentialist agent.
So maybe one (pre-deception) test for consequentialist reasoning is to test sensitivity of decision-making to small perturbations in observation-space (e.g. dog treat -> tiny chocolate) but large perturbations in action-consequence space (e.g. happy dog -> sick dog). You could spin up two copies of the model to compare.