AI ALIGNMENT FORUMTags
AF

Forecasting & Prediction

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Applied to Has the community (or any prominent members) ever made a meaningful prediction that has since been proven accurate? by LetUsTalk at 7d

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Applied to Why real estate is the only investment that matters in AI dominated future by G at 12d

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Applied to Forecasting extreme outcomes by AidanGoth at 23d

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Applied to Latent variable prediction markets mockup + designer request by Raymond Arnold at 23d

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Applied to Metaculus Year in Review: 2022 by Raymond Arnold at 1mo

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Applied to Will Manifold Markets/Metaculus have built-in support for reflective latent variables by 2025? by Ruben Bloom at 2mo

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Applied to Foresight for AGI Safety Strategy: Mitigating Risks and Identifying Golden Opportunities by Jacques Thibodeau at 2mo

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Applied to Discussing how to align Transformative AI if it’s developed very soon by jellyb at 2mo

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Applied to Human-level Diplomacy was my fire alarm by RobertM at 2mo

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Applied to Some research ideas in forecasting by Ruben Bloom at 3mo

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Applied to Metaculus Announces The Million Predictions Hackathon by Raymond Arnold at 3mo

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Applied to Metaculus is seeking Software Engineers by dschwarz at 3mo

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Applied to Metaculus is building a team dedicated to AI forecasting by Ruben Bloom at 3mo

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Applied to Significance of the Language of Thought Hypothesis? by Zachary at 4mo

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Applied to Metaculus Launches the 'Forecasting Our World In Data' Project to Probe the Long-Term Future by RobertM at 4mo

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Applied to Calibration of a thousand predictions by jellyb at 4mo

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Applied to Wanna bet? by ThomasJ at 4mo

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Applied to Against the weirdness heuristic by Eleni Angelou at 4mo