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AI ALIGNMENT FORUM
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Forecasting & Prediction
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Applied to
Has the community (or any prominent members) ever made a meaningful prediction that has since been proven accurate?
by
LetUsTalk
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7d
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Why real estate is the only investment that matters in AI dominated future
by
G
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12d
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Forecasting extreme outcomes
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AidanGoth
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23d
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Latent variable prediction markets mockup + designer request
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Raymond Arnold
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23d
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Metaculus Year in Review: 2022
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Raymond Arnold
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1mo
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Will Manifold Markets/Metaculus have built-in support for reflective latent variables by 2025?
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Ruben Bloom
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2mo
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Foresight for AGI Safety Strategy: Mitigating Risks and Identifying Golden Opportunities
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Jacques Thibodeau
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2mo
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Discussing how to align Transformative AI if it’s developed very soon
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jellyb
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2mo
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Human-level Diplomacy was my fire alarm
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RobertM
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2mo
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Some research ideas in forecasting
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Ruben Bloom
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3mo
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Metaculus Announces The Million Predictions Hackathon
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Raymond Arnold
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3mo
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Metaculus is seeking Software Engineers
by
dschwarz
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3mo
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Metaculus is building a team dedicated to AI forecasting
by
Ruben Bloom
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3mo
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Significance of the Language of Thought Hypothesis?
by
Zachary
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4mo
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Metaculus Launches the 'Forecasting Our World In Data' Project to Probe the Long-Term Future
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RobertM
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4mo
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Calibration of a thousand predictions
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jellyb
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4mo
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Wanna bet?
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ThomasJ
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4mo
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Against the weirdness heuristic
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Eleni Angelou
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4mo