Forecasting or Predicting is the act of making statements about what will happen in the future (and in some cases, the past). This tag is for discussion of the practice, skill, and methodology of forecasting. Posts exclusively containing object-level lists of forecasts and predictions are in Forecasts. Related: Betting.
Above all, don’t ask what to believe—ask what to anticipate. Every question of belief should flow from a question of anticipation, and that question of anticipation should be the center of the inquiry. – Making Beliefs Pay Rent
PredictionBook, a website that keeps track of predictions and calibration levels